JAN 11, 2015  

JAN 4, 2015       DEC 28, 2014       DEC 21, 2014       DEC 14, 2014       DEC 7, 2014       NOV 30, 2014       NOV 23, 2014         EARLIER


to avoid address abuse, please type it yourself

apocalypse - when ?


Apocalypses were predicted and are predicted quite often, not materialized, so most people donít take them seriously. Some even take the prediction task as a way of socializing. The field has been broaden substantially when the predictions of human induced cataclysms were added to natural ones - it became a sort of science, almost. If you are for some serious reading, visit the website of Nick Bostrom.

Man made doomsday aside, what is the current probability of a natural one? The graph below, where the time scale encompasses hundreds of millions of years, gives a false sense of security because human life span is so insignificant on that scale. But, look more studiously: the five near-total extinctions of live species in the last 440 million years are unevenly spaced, from 52 to 142 million years apart, the last one (end-cretaceous) 68 million years ago. We are in the range, arenít we?


Krešimir J. Adamić