Mr
James Surowiecki would like crowds to be smart. He even writes a
book to support his wish: The Wisdom of Crowds (Anchor Books,
New York, 2005). And what data does he put in to stand for? Take a
look on the example on the right, one among the first in his book, a
"striking one".
So,
what is the exemplary crowd? James’ description: "random
crowd of people with nothing better to do on weekday afternoon than
sit in a TV studio". It may be a random crowd of so described
people but not a random crowd of the society, fortunately. Most of
the people "with nothing better to do" are not lazy, they
just are not intelli- gent and inventive enough to do something
besides the routine they do for living. And the people participating
and watching the game show Who Wants to be a Millionaire? are
in the same neighborhood. Friends and relatives to be called, what
is the probability that they do not belong among the people
"with nothing better to do" ? As for the questions’
level, for the show to survive, an encouraging percentage of them
have to be answered.
So,
when James writes that every week this show "pitted group
intelligence against individual intelligence, and that every week
group intelligence won", a specification like "when you
deal with the people of below average intelli- gence" (more
descriptive than "with nothing better to do") is missing
in his statement. Fortunately, life of the human society advances by
the individuals with something better to do, the individuals for
whom Kenneth
Clark says: