from
people to atoms
Henry
Thomas Buckle (1845, at age 24)
[1]
Henry Thomas Buckle (1821-62), British historian. one of the most
avid British proponents of law-bound social physics; like many
adherents of Comte’s positivist philosophy, he wanted to fortify
the world of human affairs against the meddling influence of
governments. For Buckle, the action of men however capricious they
may appear are only part of one vast system of universal order
which is the underlying doctrine of his History of civilization
in England; the first two volumes of this ambitious work were
published between 1857 and 1861. An eminent historian he was also
a very strong amateur chess player.
[2]
That is, those which remain in the postal system because they are
badly addressed. Laplace had commented on how this was a constant
fraction of the total turnover of the postal service. |
Today, physicist regard the application of statistical mechanics
to social phenomena as a new and risky venture. Few, it seems,
recall how the process originated the other way round in the days
when physical science and social science were the twin siblings of
a mechanistic philosophy, and when it was not in the least
disreputable to invoke the habits of people to explain the habits
of inanimate particles.
Maxwell
began his work on the kinetic theory of gases shortly after
reading Buckle [1]; a few months after the publication of Buckle’s
great work, Maxwell wrote to his friend Lewis Campbell:
One
night I read 160 pages of Buckle’s History of civilization -
a bumptious book, strong positivism, emancipation from exploded
notions and that style of thing, but a great deal of actually
original matter, the result of fertile study, and not mere
brainspinning.
When
Maxwell came to study the problem of gases in which the
constituent particles were constantly engaging in collisions that
none could hope to follow, he recognized this as a problem of the
same class as those that Buckle had pondered in society, in which
the immediate causes of individual behaviour must forever be
inscrutable. As he indicated in 1873, the experiences of social
statisticians lent him confidence that his statistical approach
could extract order from the microscopic chaos:
...
those uniformities which we observe in our experiments with
quantities of matter containing millions of millions of molecules
are uniformities of the same kind as those explained by Laplace
and wondered at by Buckle arising from the slumping together of
multitudes of causes each of which is by no means uniform with the
others.
Maxwell’s
velocity distribution was merely an assumption until Ludwig
Boltzmann showed in 1872 that any group of moving particles in gas
must converge on this distribution. Boltzmann too knew of Buckle’s
work and was not slow to draw analogies between his particles and
the individuals in the social censuses that furnished Buckle’s
statistics:
The
molecules are like to many individuals, having the most various
states of motion, and the properties of gases only remain
unaltered because the number of these molecules which on the
average have a given state of motion is constant.
Boltzmann
likened the gas laws, a statement of the invariance of statistical
averages, to the uniform profits of insurance companies. In 1886
Maxwell’s friend Peter Guthrie Tait compared the statistical
approach of the kinetic theory with:
...
the extraordinary steadiness with which the number of such totally
unpredictable, through not uncommon phenomena as suicides, twin or
triple births, dead letters [2] etc., in any populous country, are
maintained year after year.
Philip
Ball: Critical mass, How one thing leads to another, Arrow
Books, London, 2004. |